NCAA Baseball 2025: Super Regional Odds, Matchups & Picks

The 2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament enters a pivotal phase this week as the super regionals begin, narrowing the 16 remaining teams to the final eight that will advance to the College World Series in Omaha. After a thrilling round of regionals, top programs now face decisive matchups across the country.

According to updated odds from BetMGM, No. 6 LSU holds the shortest odds to move forward, while Florida State is narrowly favored in its clash against Oregon State.

Expert Analysis and Regional Picks

During the latest episode of the College Baseball Podcast, Baseball America’s Jacob Rudner and Peter Flaherty provided insight into each regional and shared predictions based on performance and momentum.

Nashville/Hattiesburg Regional
Rudner backs Vanderbilt to emerge from its regional bracket, citing the Commodores’ strong finish to the season and their SEC tournament championship. He predicts Alabama to upset Southern Miss and face Vanderbilt in the super regional.

Tallahassee/Corvallis Regional
Flaherty projects Florida State to advance and meet Oregon State for a spot in Omaha, giving a slight edge to the Seminoles in what is expected to be a close contest.

Super Regional Odds and Predictions

Below are the latest odds and implied probabilities for each super regional, based on the futures market:

Louisville Super Regional

  • Louisville (-165)
  • Miami Florida (+135)
    Prediction: Louisville favored with a 62.3% chance to win.

Corvallis Super Regional

  • No. 9 Florida State (-115)
  • No. 8 Oregon State (-105)
    Prediction: Florida State with a narrow 53.5% edge.

Chapel Hill Super Regional

  • No. 5 North Carolina (-325)
  • Arizona (+260)
    Prediction: North Carolina strongly favored with a 76.5% chance.

Auburn Super Regional

  • No. 4 Auburn (-160)
  • No. 13 Coastal Carolina (+135)
    Prediction: Auburn expected to win with a 61.5% probability.

Los Angeles Super Regional

  • No. 15 UCLA (-170)
  • UTSA (+140)
    Prediction: UCLA has a 63% chance of advancing.

Durham Super Regional

  • Duke (-375)
  • Murray State (+300)
    Prediction: Duke holds a dominant 79% probability to win.

Baton Rouge Super Regional

  • No. 6 LSU (-500)
  • West Virginia (+375)
    Prediction: LSU leads the field with an 83.3% chance to advance.

Fayetteville Super Regional

  • No. 3 Arkansas (-130)
  • No. 14 Tennessee (+110)
    Prediction: Arkansas holds a slim edge at 56.5%.

As the road to Omaha heats up, powerhouse programs will clash with underdogs in a high-stakes weekend of NCAA baseball. All eyes are on LSU, Duke, and North Carolina as the tournament inches closer to its dramatic conclusion.