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Dallas Cowboys 2025 Odds: Playoff Chances and Super Bowl Outlook
The Dallas Cowboys may still carry the “America’s Team” label, but public betting trends suggest that belief in their resurgence is fading fast. After wrapping up a disappointing 7-10 season in 2024, doubts about Dallas making a deep playoff run in 2025 are evident across sportsbooks.
Significant changes followed last season’s struggles. Brian Schottenheimer now leads the Cowboys as head coach, and the team has made multiple roster tweaks. The focus is on developing a fresh identity while staying competitive in an NFC that is challenging—but not out of reach.
The Philadelphia Eagles are front-runners to clinch the NFC East at -175 odds. Surprisingly, the Washington Commanders lead both in betting ticket share (33.7%) and handle (46.9%), while the New York Giants present the biggest liability in the division. Meanwhile, faith in Dallas appears limited—likely due to their sub-.500 record last year.
Super Bowl and Playoff Forecast for Dallas
Despite possessing star talent, oddsmakers remain cautious. As of June 6, 2025:
- Super Bowl LIX Odds (FanDuel): +100000
(Implied probability: 0.1%) - Playoff Appearance Odds: +800
According to ESPN projections:
- Playoff Appearance: 30.6%
- Reach Super Bowl: 2.9%
- Win Super Bowl: 1.4%
Cowboys’ Stage of Elimination Odds
Here’s a breakdown of how oddsmakers expect Dallas to perform in the 2025-26 season:
- Miss the Playoffs: -235
- Wild Card Exit: +425
- Divisional Round Exit: +850
- Conference Championship Exit: +1900
- Lose in Super Bowl: +5500
- Win Super Bowl: +6000
(All based on a $10 wager return format)
To challenge for a playoff berth, Dallas must operate with little room for error. Quarterback Dak Prescott’s health will be key, as will consistent protection from the offensive line—anchored by Tyler Booker. Defensive star Micah Parsons also needs to continue producing at an elite level.
Realistic Expectations for 2025
Considering the depth issues on the roster and the strength of several NFC playoff hopefuls, an 8-9 finish seems like a grounded projection. It may leave the Cowboys just shy of postseason qualification again, unless major improvements are seen across the board.
