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Two struggling sides at the foot of the Brazilian Serie A standings—Juventude and Sport Recife—are set to face off on Tuesday, July 15, 2025, at the Estadio Alfredo Jaconi in what could be a decisive encounter in their fight for survival.
Juventude return to action after a month-long break, hoping to snap an eight-game winless streak. Despite a challenging campaign, both of Juventude’s victories this season have come on home soil. They have earned 8 points from 11 games and sit just three points below safety, with the advantage of having a game in hand on several teams above them.
Meanwhile, Sport Recife have endured an even tougher season. Under the guidance of new manager Daniel Paulista, they are still searching for their first win and have lost all five of their away fixtures. They’ve managed just one goal in their last five games and have yet to find any form outside their home ground.
Juventude have never lost to Sport Recife at home in seven previous meetings, earning three wins and four draws. Their last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw during the 2023 Serie B campaign. Historically, Sport Recife have the edge overall, winning twice in the last four meetings, but they have failed to secure a single victory at Alfredo Jaconi.
Sport Recife used the extended break to revamp their squad. Ten players were offloaded, and four new faces arrived. Promising young talent Zé Lucas, just 17 years old, has caught the eye of scouts from European giants like Barcelona. He’s expected to play a more significant role under Paulista, who has a reputation for promoting youth.
The team’s standout signings include Uruguayan forward Ignacio Ramírez and midfielder Pedro Augusto from Fortaleza. Despite these moves, Recife’s defensive frailties and lack of attacking punch remain pressing issues.
Juventude are expected to make the most of home advantage, especially given Sport Recife’s poor away form and goal-scoring struggles. The hosts have shown resilience in Caxias do Sul, and with the return of goalkeeper Marcao—who recorded their only clean sheet of the season—they will aim to contain Recife’s minimal attacking threat.
Correct Score Prediction: Juventude 1-0 Sport Recife
Given that five of Recife’s last seven matches featured 11 or more corners, a bet on Over 10.5 Corners at 1/1 (2.00) could be worth considering.
Juventude have experimented with multiple goalkeepers this season, yet they’ve still conceded 24 goals—the highest total in the league. Marcao is expected to start this game, and having kept their only clean sheet, he could play a pivotal role in securing a much-needed victory.