Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Preview & Betting Odds | July 13, 2025

Minnesota United welcome San Jose Earthquakes to Allianz Field this Sunday in what promises to be an exciting MLS clash. With both sides pushing to climb the Western Conference standings, the stakes are high for this mid-season encounter.

Key Statistics

• Minnesota United have struck first in five consecutive matches against San Jose.
• The Earthquakes have witnessed goals from both sides in their last six matches.
• Six of Minnesota’s last seven games also featured both teams getting on the scoresheet.

Recent Form

Minnesota United are riding a wave of strong form, having gone unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions. Their recent outings include a gritty 2-1 win away at FC Dallas and a 3-1 triumph over Chicago Fire in extra time during the US Open Cup. Even their goalless draw against Holstein Kiel in an international friendly showcased their defensive solidity.

With only one loss in their last 10 matches (a 4-2 defeat to San Diego), Minnesota have been solid overall, particularly at home—winning five of their nine home fixtures this season.

In contrast, San Jose Earthquakes have only managed one win in their last six appearances. Although their form hasn’t been disastrous, inconsistency has been a theme. Currently holding seventh place in the Western Conference, they come into this game with a balanced record: 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses from 21 games.

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Head-to-Head Record

Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes have met 17 times in Major League Soccer. The numbers lean in favor of Minnesota:

• Minnesota wins: 8
• San Jose wins: 5
• Draws: 4
• Goals scored: Minnesota 31 – San Jose 22

The last five encounters have seen Minnesota go unbeaten, with three wins and two draws. Interestingly, both teams have scored in 11 of those 17 meetings, and over 2.5 goals have been recorded in more than half of the games.

Player to Watch

Anthony Markanich, Minnesota’s energetic left-back, continues to make an impact offensively. Having started 13 matches this season and attempted 16 shots, he’s registered at least one attempt in 11 of those starts. His recent form includes eight shots—three of which were on target—over his last five games.

Markanich’s overlapping runs and attacking intent are expected to play a big role in breaking down San Jose’s defense, particularly given the Earthquakes’ tendency to leave space on the flanks.

Minnesota vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Given Minnesota’s current form, historical edge, and home advantage, they are tipped to secure a win in this contest. They’ve dominated recent meetings and are in stronger rhythm heading into this tie.

Betting Odds

• Minnesota United: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
• Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• San Jose Earthquakes: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  Odds via Ladbrokes; subject to change.

OPTA Win Probability:

• Minnesota United – 57.3%
• Draw – 22.2%
• San Jose Earthquakes – 20.6%

Minnesota United have become a dominant force at home and carry a strong track record against San Jose. With set pieces proving to be a key strength—16 goals already from dead-ball situations—the Loons are well-positioned to claim another three points.