Braves vs. Phillies Prediction & Odds, June 27

Matt Olson and Trea Turner lead the Braves vs Phillies clash at Truist Park. Check betting odds, predictions, pitching insights, and player stats for June 27, 2025.

NL East rivals Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies will face off this Friday at 7:15 p.m. ET at Truist Park in Atlanta. Power hitters Matt Olson and Trea Turner headline the matchup, with the Phillies entering as underdogs.

Game Details and Odds

• Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
• Watch: FDSSO (Braves) / NBCS-PH (Phillies)

Betting Lines

• Moneyline: Braves -177 | Phillies +147
• Run Line: Braves -1.5
• Total Runs (O/U): 9.5

Team Form and Matchup Outlook

Phillies Outlook

Philadelphia held a short-lived lead in the NL East before being swept by the Astros in a three-game series, where they managed to score only a single run. While managing without Bryce Harper, their offense has shown signs of decline, especially against right-handed pitching. The Phillies’ wRC+ vs. righties has dipped to 103, and they now sit 22nd in ISO league-wide.

They’ll need an offensive reset to contend with the Braves’ pitching, particularly starter Bryce Elder, who thrives on generating ground balls.

Braves Outlook

Atlanta enters as the favorite and has a reliable weapon in Elder, who, despite a 4.77 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, maintains a groundball rate in the 88th percentile. His 3.68 xFIP suggests more efficient outings ahead. He’ll be backed by a rested bullpen, one of the best in MLB this season.

Starting Pitcher Breakdown

• ATL: Bryce Elder – While his base stats show inconsistency, his high groundball rate makes him an effective run suppressor.
• PHI: Mick Abel – The rookie has delivered a respectable 3.47 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP over 23.1 innings but struggled in his most recent start against the Mets.

Braves vs. Phillies Predictions

• Final Score: Braves 5, Phillies 4
• Total Runs Prediction: Under 9.5
• Win Probability: Braves 52% | Phillies 48%

Betting Insights

Moneyline Trends

• Braves have been favorites in 62 games this year, winning 33 (53.2%).
• Atlanta has won 71.4% of games when favored at -177 or shorter.
• Phillies are 5-11 as underdogs in 2025.

Run Line Trends

• Phillies: 23-18 ATS on the road
• Braves: 17-20 ATS at home
• Phillies have covered 7 of their last 9 spreads with outright wins.

Over/Under Trends

• Only 3 of their last 6 matchups exceeded 9 runs.
• 8 of Atlanta’s last 10 and 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games have stayed under 10 runs.

Key Player Spotlights

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 24 HR, 55 RBI – 5th in MLB for home runs.
• Trea Turner: Batting .295 – Team’s top average.
• Nick Castellanos: .281 AVG, 21 doubles, 8 HR.
• Alec Bohm: .280 AVG, 11 doubles, 7 HR.

Atlanta Braves

• Matt Olson: Power presence to watch at home.
• Bullpen: One of the league’s most effective, especially in close games.

If Philadelphia aims to grab a win on the road, Mick Abel must be in top form. However, given Atlanta’s home performance and bullpen edge, the Braves remain slight favorites—though not without risk.