Top Player Stats, Betting ROI, and Implied Probabilities Analyzed

Best NBA First Basket Prop Bets Today: Nembhard, Hartenstein Lead Value Picks for June 4 Slate

June 4, 2025 – As the NBA postseason action heats up, bettors are turning to one of the league’s most exciting prop markets: first basket scorer bets. With a full slate of games on Wednesday, June 4, today’s first field goal props offer high-upside plays for savvy bettors eyeing value in early-game action.

First basket scorer wagers allow fans to bet on which player will score the initial points of a game, and recent trends have highlighted several key names with strong returns on investment.

First Basket Scorer Trends & ROI Leaders

Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers)
Nembhard has delivered the first basket in 3 of his last 11 away games, generating a remarkable +18.50 units and a 168% return on investment (ROI).
Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers)
Nesmith has struck early in 3 of his last 20 appearances, returning +15.00 units with a 75% ROI in first basket markets.
Isaiah Hartenstein (Oklahoma City Thunder)
Hartenstein is another efficient pick, scoring first in 2 of his last 7 games for a +14.00 unit profit and an impressive 200% ROI.
Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers)
Haliburton has opened the scoring in 4 of his last 25 contests, translating to +12.00 units and a 48% ROI.

These insights are based on betting market outcomes and player performance metrics over recent games, offering sharp bettors a statistical edge.

Player Name	Odds to Score First	Implied Probability
Chet Holmgren (OKC)	+450	18.18%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)	+525	16%
Jalen Williams (OKC)	+525	16%

What to Know Before Betting First Basket Props

Timing & Market Availability
First basket scorer markets are typically posted by 9:00 AM ET on game days, although availability may vary based on sportsbook and lineup updates. Odds are influenced by matchups, starting lineups, and historical scoring patterns.

Strategy Considerations
Successful betting in this niche market relies heavily on analyzing player trends, usage rates in opening possessions, tip-off win percentages, and past first-quarter shooting efficiency.

Stay tuned for more updates on NBA player props, and consider factoring in recent hot streaks from value players like Nembhard and Hartenstein when placing your first basket bets for tonight’s matchups.