Falcons Playoff Predictions 2025 are clouded by uncertainty as the team enters a pivotal season. Second-year quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is set for his first full year as the starter, despite limited experience with only three career starts. Defensively, Atlanta is undergoing a major transition, replacing coordinator Jimmy Lake with Jeff Ulbrich and revamping a pass rush that ranked 31st in sacks last season. These changes will play a crucial role in determining whether the Falcons can make a serious playoff run in 2025.

Falcons’ Playoff Odds for 2025

• +150 odds to make the 2025–26 postseason
• -180 odds to miss the playoffs
• Finished 2-6 in the last eight games of 2024, securing second place in the NFC South
• Falcons labeled as a prime live betting option for a potential playoff push

The Falcons entered 2024 with lofty expectations but ultimately failed to qualify for the postseason. Heading into 2025, oddsmakers suggest a similar fate, though there’s cautious optimism. Despite the odds favoring another miss, the potential is there for Atlanta to defy expectations.

Weekly Predictions & Analysis

Week 1: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

📅 1 p.m., Sept. 7
Prediction: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 20
After sweeping Tampa Bay last season, Atlanta will look to carry offseason hope into a victorious opener. The Buccaneers might be out for revenge, but the Falcons appear poised to open strong with a divisional win.

Week 2: at Minnesota Vikings

📅 8:20 p.m., Sept. 14 (Sunday Night Football)
Prediction: Vikings 23, Falcons 16
The Vikings dominated Atlanta last year, winning 42-21. However, they’ll likely be led by rookie J.J. McCarthy in Week 2. Minnesota’s defense could prove too strong for Penix under the primetime lights, giving the home team the edge.

Are the Falcons Playoff-Bound in 2025?

Despite ongoing uncertainty, there are encouraging signs for Atlanta. In 2024, their quarterbacks threw 19 interceptions—tied for the third-most in the NFL—which significantly impacted their playoff chances.

That said, there’s room for optimism on offense. The Falcons finished 14th in offensive DVOA last year against a relatively soft schedule. Offensive coordinator Zac Robinson hit his stride in Weeks 16–18—coinciding with Penix’s starts—where Atlanta led the NFL in offensive success rate and ranked 7th in EPA per play.

Over the first 15 games, those rankings were 8th and 15th, respectively. However, it’s important to note that their late-season surge came against three of the league’s worst defenses: the Giants (28th), Commanders (23rd), and Panthers (32nd) in defensive DVOA.

Looking ahead, Atlanta faces the league’s 16th-hardest slate of opposing offenses based on 2024 data. If Jeff Ulbrich can revitalize the defense, playoff hopes may become more realistic. Still, early-season performance will be telling.

Also Read: NFL 2025 Season: New Coach-Quarterback Duos Set to Shape Super Bowl Race

Live Betting Potential

Given the variables at play, the safest route may be monitoring the Falcons through the early weeks. While there’s reason to lean toward a playoff berth, the most prudent approach could be capitalizing on live betting angles as the season progresses.